BDBVHubRenewal: renewal-model nowcasts and forecasts for the BDBV Modeling Hub

Abbott, SORCID logo (2026). BDBVHubRenewal: renewal-model nowcasts and forecasts for the BDBV Modeling Hub. [Dataset]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23942616
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Weekly nowcasts and forecasts of confirmed Bundibugyo virus disease cases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo for the BDBV Modeling Hub, nationally, by province and by health zone, with the data tools, backtest and automated submission workflow behind them. Two hub models are submitted. seabbs-rwnowcast is baselinenowcast with a random walk on top. seabbs-renewal carries one of three renewal models of daily onsets with a learnt reporting delay and the hub's imputation of missing onsets: renewalsp, fitted to each province on its own; renewal, with pooled Rt and gravity importation between provinces; and renewalbvd, which adds the Rt estimates of BVDOutbreakSize.

Keywords

Epidemiology; Forecasting; Nowcasting; hubverse; Bundibugyo virus disease

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