esnightingale/covid_deaths_spatial

Nightingale, EORCID logo (2022). esnightingale/covid_deaths_spatial. [Dataset]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5763663
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This repository contains the code used to predict the potential trajectories of symptomatic cases and total infections for COVID-19 during the first epidemic wave in England, based on reported COVID-19-related deaths per week and per lower tier local authority (LTLA). This is acheived by estimating a confirmed-case-fatality ratio according to cases detected under the expanded pillar 1 + pillar 2 testing system in place from 18th May 2020, and applying this to rescale smoothed trajectories of deaths from January to June, accounting for case-fatality risk factors of the local population. Data from serological surveys are then used to infer the total number of infections represented by these cases.

Keywords

COVID-19, Coronavirus

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