esnightingale/covid_deaths_spatial
This repository contains the code used to predict the potential trajectories of symptomatic cases and total infections for COVID-19 during the first epidemic wave in England, based on reported COVID-19-related deaths per week and per lower tier local authority (LTLA). This is acheived by estimating a confirmed-case-fatality ratio according to cases detected under the expanded pillar 1 + pillar 2 testing system in place from 18th May 2020, and applying this to rescale smoothed trajectories of deaths from January to June, accounting for case-fatality risk factors of the local population. Data from serological surveys are then used to infer the total number of infections represented by these cases.
Keywords
COVID-19, CoronavirusItem Type | Dataset |
---|---|
Capture method | Other |
Date | 7 January 2022 |
Language(s) of written materials | English |
Creator(s) |
Nightingale, E |
LSHTM Faculty/Department | Faculty of Public Health and Policy > Dept of Global Health and Development |
Participating Institutions | London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom |
Date Deposited | 13 Apr 2022 13:15 |
Last Modified | 19 May 2022 08:48 |
Publisher | Zenodo |